BETWEEN-CENTRE VARIATION IN THE PROPORTIONS OF ADVERSE DRUG REACTIONS GRADED BY CAUSALITY, SEVERITY AND PREVENTABILITY IN INDIAN TERTIARY CARE CENTRES
Main Article Content
Keywords
Preventability, WHO-UMC causality assessment, Adverse drug reactions, Indian Adverse Drug Reaction Monitoring Centres.
Abstract
Background. Most Indian ADR monitoring centres (AMCs) publish audits that grade reports with the WHO-UMC causality system, the Hartwig-Siegel severity scale and the modified Schumock-Thornton preventability criteria. Their headline proportions differ widely and have not been synthesised.
Methods. This is a pilot analysis of a convenience sample, run before a logged systematic search; all criteria were set after the included papers had been read. Observational studies from Indian tertiary care hospitals that graded ADRs from all drug classes with WHO-UMC causality were eligible. Raw counts were extracted by one reviewer. Proportions were pooled on the logit scale with DerSimonian-Laird τ² and Hartung-Knapp-Sidik-Jonkman (HKSJ) confidence intervals; REML, Paule-Mandel and a binomial-normal GLMM were sensitivity analyses. Preventability was summarised descriptively.
Results. Eleven of 21 unique reports were included, covering 2,001 reports. The share graded probable ranged from 22.5% to 91.4% between centres (I² 96%, τ² 0.77; prediction interval 23.3 to 95.1); the pooled value was 70.9% (54.1 to 83.4). Across eight studies grading severity, the severe share ranged from 1.8% to 18.4% (pooled 8.2% (4.2 to 15.4)). The six centres reporting preventability judged between 0% and 97% of reactions not preventable. The lowest probable share came from the only active surveillance study. There was no evidence that region, inpatient setting or year explained the causality variation, although with 11 studies these analyses had little power.
Conclusions. Published Indian AMC audits differ widely in how their reports are distributed across causality, severity and preventability grades, so no single pooled figure represents them. Because each centre graded different reports, this design cannot separate case mix from grading practice. A logged systematic search, a second reviewer and a multicentre regrading study are needed before firm conclusions.
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